So, here's the €64 billion question. Where did that money come from?
All the European governments have some sort of Debt Management Office (DMO) whose job is to borrow money. They do this by working with a set of "Primary Dealers" - essentially Commerical Banks. You can find the list of these primary dealers on the European Union's Economy and Finance Committee website.
There is also an organisation called the AFME (Association for Financial Markets in Europe) which produces a 307 page document called the "European Primary Dealers Handbook", that gives details of how this borrowing process is handled in 16 of the main European Countries. They also compile a table with the list of current Primary Dealers for these countries.
I've rearranged the table so you can see which are the most important Primary Dealers
As you can see, there are some Primary
Dealers that are particularly omnipresent. Barclays is used by all 16
countries. Deutsche Bank and HSBC are used by 15 whereas Société Générale is
used by 14 countries. BNP Paribas, Citigroup and the Royal Bank of Scotland are
each used by 13 countries, whereas Crédit Agricole, Goldman Sachs, J.P Morgan
and Noomura are used by 12. And so on.
The table also shows that the number of
Primary Dealers varies quite a lot from country to country, from a minimum of 8
in the case of Sweden, to a maximum of 37 in the case of Germany (although
Germany says that it doesn't have a true Primary Dealers list.
The rules used by each country are not
fixed, but it a number of cases, it is explicitly stated that only Primary
Dealers (i.e. Commecial Banks) are permitted to buy government bonds. For
example, Austria says "Only Primary Dealers have the right to participate
in the Auction Procedure." The German documents stipulate that " Only
members of the “Bund Issues Auction Group” may par ticipate in the auctions
directly". The Irish documents say
" In order to par ticipate
in Irish Government bond issues, institutions
must be recognised by the NTMA as Primary Dealers." For Slovakia,
"Only PDs who have a valid primary
dealer Contract with the ARDAL are authorized to submit bids
in auctions."
I suspect that even in countries where such
rules are not explicitly written, it is nevertheless the case that only Primary
Dealers that have the opportunity to purchase government bonds. I have started
to ask that specific question to each country's Debt Management Office to check
on this.
OK So now we know that Governments will
sell their bonds to a selected group of Banks, the next question concerns where
the Banks get the money that they use to purchase the bonds.
Of course, we are supposed to believe that
these Banks are simply acting as intermediaries for their clients, who could be
pension funds and insurance companies for example. We are supposed to believe
that those investors give the banks their money, and then those banks use their
status as primary dealers to buy up government bonds.
But, as the Bank of England stated clearly
last year, when Commercial Banks make loans, they typically don't use money
that has been already been deposited with them by savers - they actually create
the money.
So, here's my fundamental question.
What percentage of the €7.8 trillion used by primary dealers such as Barclays, Deutche Bank, HSBC, Société Générale etc to buy government bonds was money that existed before the bonds were purchased? And what percentage was simply created out of thin air?
I suspect that it may be very difficult to know the truth, because the entire system is cloaked in mystery. The Debt Management Offices in different countries do not provide precise details about which Primary Dealers actually made the purchases. At best, they may provide a ranked list of the most active Primary Dealers, such as this one provided by the Agence France Trésor.
What percentage of the €7.8 trillion used by primary dealers such as Barclays, Deutche Bank, HSBC, Société Générale etc to buy government bonds was money that existed before the bonds were purchased? And what percentage was simply created out of thin air?
I suspect that it may be very difficult to know the truth, because the entire system is cloaked in mystery. The Debt Management Offices in different countries do not provide precise details about which Primary Dealers actually made the purchases. At best, they may provide a ranked list of the most active Primary Dealers, such as this one provided by the Agence France Trésor.
1 BNP Paribas2 Société Générale3 Crédit Agricole4 Barclays5 HSBC6 Natixis7 Nomura8 Morgan Stanley9 Royal Bank of Scotland
10 Crédit Suisse
The Austrian Tresury also publishes such
lists - here's the latest one for 2014, together with the rankings for 2013
1. Société Générale (4.)
2. Barclays (2.)
3. HSBC France (1.)
4. Nomura (8.)
5. Goldman Sachs (6.)
6. Deutsche Bank (5.)
7. UniCredit Bank (9.)
8. Commerzbank (3.)
9. Natixis (11.)
10. Citigroup (10.)
I also found rankings for Primary Dealers
for the Netherlands here:
1. Commerzbank2. ING Bank3. HSBC France4. Société Générale5. Citigroup
But don't you think that we absolutely need
to know the truth for all our governments? And not just rankings, but actual
detailed listings of the purchases made by every one of these banks? And we
need to know if those Banks used prexisting money, or money they created
themselves.
It seems to me perfectly possible that the
vast majority of the €7.8 trillion used to buy European Government Bonds in the
last 20 years, was simply created out of thin air by commercial Banks. I'm
happy to be proved wrong, but until I am, I think that we have to consider this
possiblity seriously.
And if that is the case, then I think that
every one of us should be denouncing what is effectively a total scam. We have
collectively paid over €6.66 trillion in interest charges for borrowing money
from Bankers who quite probably didn't have the money that they lent our
governments. It also means that by
creating money this way, the Money Supply will have increased by up to €7.8
trillion by the operation of Commercial Banks - an incredibly dangerous and
irresponsible scenario. Surely, no responsible Central Bank could allow that to
happen?
As I suggested to Alexis Tsipras on my
blog, I think that the Greek government
could say that they would be happy to repay any loans (plus the interest) to
anyone who could prove that they used preexisting money to buy Greek Government
Bonds. Here is the list of Greece's
Primary Dealers (they are all Banks):
- Alpha Bank (Athens)
- Banca IMI (Milan)
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch (London)
- Barclays (London)
- BNP Paribas (London)
- Citigroup (Athens)
- Crédit Suisse (London)
- Deutsche Bank (Frankfurt)
- EFG Eurobank-Ergasias (Athens)
- Goldman Sachs (London)
- HSBC (Athens)
- ING (Amsterdam)
- J.P. Morgan (London)
- Morgan Stanley (London)
- National Bank of Greece (Athens)
- Nomura (London)
- Piraeus Bank (Athens)
- Royal Bank of Scotland (London)
- Société Générale (Paris)
- UBS (London)
- Unicredit (Milan)
We just have to ask them what was the
origin of the money they used to purchase Greek Bonds. If it turns out that
they made their bond purchases using money that they created out of thin air,
it would dramatically change the nature of the claim on the Greek people.
Finally, let me just note that if you think
about the £625 billion that Osborne and Cameron have borrowed over the last 5
years, exactly the same question needs to be asked. Where did that money come
from?
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